A "Lost Decade" in Nepalese Economy


I was looking for the dynamics of fiscal and monetary policy in the Nepalese economy.  Both have a specific economic and political explanation, though monetary policy stands more economic connotation than the fiscal one. Although the central bank has a specialized department and relatively competent human resources, even their document seems are unable to get the real picture of the economy.

Since 2004/05 to 20015/16 inflation remains higher than the GDP growth in Nepal. It happened not just like it to be.  In reality, it was committed because of the political, structural, and market-based phenomenon that are not even looked for a reason.

I have gone through another aspect to analyze the Nepalese economy whether it is 'paradigm shift '. Reviewing the documents and consulting with then officer bearer, I am almost convinced with the situation of 'paradigm lost' rather in Nepalese economy. Simply this conclusion is driven due to the failure of understanding the fundamentals of how the economy works.

Thus, the period 2004 to 2016, should be named as a 'lost decade' in Economic history of Nepal. It became so due to the worst ever understanding about the role of every economic actor.

Table-1: Relationship Between Real GDP Growth and CPI in Nepal


Note: This issue is elaborated further in an article and the link of the article is in comment box.

Provision of Grants (Fiscal Equalization, Conditional, Complementary and Special) in Nepal


Generally in federal countries, Sub-national governments (SNGs) receives intergovernmental grants to finance their assigned activities and implement national policies. Grants are used to subsidies of services and equalization of the grants. However, the allocation of grants is found to be complex in its governance (OECD, 2006).  

According to the world bank, the government introduces intergovernmental transfers for four reasons. First one is to maintain the vertical balance. Vertical imbalances arise between the SNGs due to the imbalance between the expenditure responsibilities and revenue raising power, this may cause to a deficiency in service delivery made by SNGs. The second reason is to equalize the capacities of the resources while in SNGs, their revenue raising capacity varies. Third one is the externalities. Due to the low revenue capacity SNGs under-spend where substantial external benefits ensure-like spending on health and education by their own resources. And the last reason shows that intergovernmental is needed for the public financing system Bahl (2000).

In Nepal, grants stand for the most important source of financing for the SNGs-State and Local Levels. There are four types of grants namely: Fiscal Equalization, Conditional, Complementary and Special Grants. These grants are allocated by the National Natural Resources and Fiscal Commission(NNRFC) with a certain basis and criteria. The objectives and criterion for distribution of these grants are presented in the table.

Table-1: Scope of Grants 



S.N
Types of Grants
Objective of Grants
Criterion of Distribution
1
Fiscal Equalization
To minimize the Vertical Fiscal Imbalances.
Distribute fiscal equalization grants to the State and Local Level on the basis of their need for expenditures and revenue capacity.
2
Conditional
To implement any project of the State or Local Level or the Government of Nepal on the basis as prescribed by the Commission
Specify necessary terms and conditions in relation to the implementation of the project and the concerned State and Local Level shall abide by such terms and conditions.
3
Complementary
To implement any project related to infrastructure development in the State and Local Level.
While providing complementary grants the following criteria shall be taken into account:-
(a) Feasibility of the project,
(b) Project cost,
(c) Outputs or benefits to be achieved from the project,
(d) Financial and physical capacity or human resources for the implementation of the project, and
(e) Need and priority of the project.
4
Special
To operate the specific project by the State or Local Level
Special grants have any of following objectives:-
(a) to develop and deliver basic services like education, health and drinking water,
(b) to achieve balanced development of inter-State or inter-local level, and
(c) to uplift or develop the class or community discriminated economically, socially or in any other form
Source: IGFAA, 2074.

References:
Bahl, Roy (2000). Intergovernmental transfers in developing and transition countries: Principles and practice. Municipal Finance. The World Bank
OECD (2006). Intergovernmental transfers and decentralized public spending.  WP No 3.
IGFAA (2074). Intergovernmental Fiscal Arrangement Act, 2074